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Nigeria national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 4pm UK
 
Guinea-Bissau national football team

Nigeria
0 - 1
Guinea-Bissau

FT(HT: 0-1)
Balde (29')
Encada (45'), Balde (52'), Balde (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Nigeria and Guinea-Bissau, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Portugal 4-0 Nigeria
Thursday, November 17 at 6.45pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Gambia
Sunday, November 20 at 12pm in International Friendlies

We said: Nigeria 3-1 Guinea-Bissau

Nigeria ended 2022 on a poor run of results but their first outing of 2023 provides a good chance to get themselves back on track. We expect the home side to see off the threat of their visitors in comfortable fashion at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 77.39%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 5.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.94%) and 3-0 (12.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.02%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
NigeriaDrawGuinea-Bissau
77.39% (-0.2 -0.2) 16.64% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 5.97% (0.213 0.21)
Both teams to score 29.61% (1.02 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.21% (0.762 0.76)53.79% (-0.759 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.74% (0.637 0.64)75.26% (-0.634 -0.63)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.91% (0.16200000000001 0.16)12.1% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.36% (0.339 0.34)37.64% (-0.335 -0.34)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
33.68% (1.103 1.1)66.32% (-1.1 -1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.44% (0.4429 0.44)93.56% (-0.44 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 77.38%
    Guinea-Bissau 5.97%
    Draw 16.64%
NigeriaDrawGuinea-Bissau
2-0 @ 17.89% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-0 @ 16.94% (-0.4 -0.4)
3-0 @ 12.6% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.35% (0.173 0.17)
4-0 @ 6.66% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.153 0.15)
5-0 @ 2.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.097 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.06% (0.073 0.07)
6-0 @ 0.99% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 77.38%
0-0 @ 8.02% (-0.241 -0.24)
1-1 @ 6.96% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 1.51% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 16.64%
0-1 @ 3.29% (0.037 0.04)
1-2 @ 1.43% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 5.97%

How you voted: Nigeria vs Guinea-Bissau

Nigeria
95.9%
Draw
2.0%
Guinea-Bissau
2.0%
49
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2022 7pm
rhs 2.0
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