MX23RW : Tuesday, January 28 22:48:57| >> :600:4644940:4644940:
Guinea-Bissau national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stade de Marrakech
Sao Tome and Principe national football team

Guinea-Bissau
5 - 1
Sao Tome

Semedo (40'), Gano (50', 58'), Banjaqui (80'), Jorginho (87')
Encada (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Domingos Lima Viegas (21')
Soares Goncalves Ceita (82'), Cruz Dos Santos (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Guinea-Bissau and Sao Tome & Principe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 5-1 Sao Tome
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Sierra Leone vs. Guinea-Bissau
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 5-1 Sao Tome
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Guinea-Bissau 1-0 Sao Tome & Principe

We expect a tight and cagey affair in this one, with neither team giving too much away due to the fear of defeat. Nonetheless, we are also tipping the home side to scrape to a narrow win come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 67.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 11.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.1%) and 3-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guinea-Bissau would win this match.

Result
Guinea-BissauDrawSao Tome & Principe
67.57% (-3.173 -3.17) 21.42% (2.227 2.23) 11.02% (0.953 0.95)
Both teams to score 36.69% (-2.788 -2.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.02% (-5.866 -5.87)56.99% (5.873 5.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.12% (-4.914 -4.91)77.88% (4.919 4.92)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.87% (-2.89 -2.89)16.14% (2.897 2.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.43% (-5.556 -5.56)45.57% (5.564 5.56)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.75% (-1.754 -1.75)56.25% (1.76 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.39% (-1.037 -1.04)88.62% (1.043 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Guinea-Bissau 67.56%
    Sao Tome & Principe 11.02%
    Draw 21.42%
Guinea-BissauDrawSao Tome & Principe
1-0 @ 16.55% (1.97 1.97)
2-0 @ 15.1% (0.36 0.36)
3-0 @ 9.18% (-0.758 -0.76)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-1 @ 5.28% (-0.752 -0.75)
4-0 @ 4.19% (-0.837 -0.84)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.641 -0.64)
5-0 @ 1.53% (-0.505 -0.51)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.312 -0.31)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 67.56%
1-1 @ 9.53% (0.67 0.67)
0-0 @ 9.08% (1.863 1.86)
2-2 @ 2.5% (-0.218 -0.22)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.42%
0-1 @ 5.22% (0.843 0.84)
1-2 @ 2.74% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.5% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 11.02%

How you voted: Guinea-Bissau vs Mauritius

Guinea-Bissau
62.5%
Draw
18.8%
Mauritius
18.8%
16
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Guinea-Bissau
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!