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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Rwanda national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Regional de Nyamirambo
Benin national football team

Rwanda
2 - 1
Benin

Nshutiyamagara (70'), Bizimana (75' pen.)
Niyigena (38')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hountondji (42')
Imourane (36'), Tijani (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Rwanda and Benin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rwanda

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Benin 3-0 Rwanda
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Benin

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Benin 3-0 Rwanda
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Rwanda 0-2 Benin

 After stumbling into the qualifying campaign, Benin have turned things around in their last games and they will be looking to move top of the table on Tuesday. While Rwanda will look to make a positive reaction to Friday's defeat, Rohr's men boast the firepower needed to get this one over the line and we fancy them to come away with another comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 44.2%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Benin had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.73%), while for a Benin win it was 0-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rwanda would win this match.

Result
RwandaDrawBenin
44.2% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 30.3% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 25.5% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 38.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.93% (-0.073 -0.07)68.07% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.02% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)85.98% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)30.99% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)67.29% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Benin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.66% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)44.34% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.6% (-0.058 -0.06)80.4% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Rwanda 44.2%
    Benin 25.49%
    Draw 30.29%
RwandaDrawBenin
1-0 @ 16.09% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.68%
3-1 @ 3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 44.2%
0-0 @ 13.73% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-1 @ 13.09%
2-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 30.29%
0-1 @ 11.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 25.49%

How you voted: Rwanda vs Benin

Rwanda
20.7%
Draw
27.6%
Benin
51.7%
29
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Benin
3-0
Rwanda
Mounie (7'), Hountondji (67'), Imourane (70')
Hountondji (65'), Hountondji (90+3')

Kwizera (40'), Omborenga (51'), Niyigena (63'), Mbonyumwami (89')
> Preview
Jun 6, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Benin
1-0
Rwanda
Dodo (37')
Dodo (44'), Imourane (82')

Imanishimwe (20')
> Preview
Mar 29, 2023 2pm
Group Stage
Rwanda
1-1
Benin
Manzi (71')
Dossou (57')
Mar 22, 2023 4pm
Group Stage
Benin
1-1
Rwanda
Mounie (82')
Mugisha (13')
rhs 2.0
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