MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 14:26:49| >> :600:4787612:4787612:
Senegal national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
 
Mozambique national football team

Senegal
5 - 1
Mozambique

Sabaly (9'), Mane (15'), Ndiaye (32'), Dia (39'), Diallo (88')
Sarr (31'), Mane (52')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Vilanculos (48')
Kambala (13'), Vilanculos (61'), Junior (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Senegal and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Algeria 0-0 Senegal (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, February 4 at 7.30pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Madagascar 3-1 Mozambique
Saturday, January 28 at 4pm in African Nations Championship

We said: Senegal 2-0 Mozambique

With their recent performances and results, Senegal have shown they are more than capable of getting the job done. The Lions of Teranga take on a Mozambique side 95 places below them in the latest FIFA World Rankings and we do not fancy any upset occurring at the Stade Me Abdoulaye Wade. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 70.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 8.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.41%) and 3-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.12%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
SenegalDrawMozambique
70.5% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 21.24% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 8.25% (-0.0619 -0.06)
Both teams to score 28.8% (-0.183 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.62% (-0.119 -0.12)62.37% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.98% (-0.087999999999997 -0.09)82.01% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.96% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)17.04% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.81% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)47.19% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
34.71% (-0.212 -0.21)65.28% (0.21300000000001 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.87% (-0.0909 -0.09)93.12% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Senegal 70.48%
    Mozambique 8.25%
    Draw 21.24%
SenegalDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 19.68% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 17.41% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 10.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.43% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.55% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 0.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 70.48%
0-0 @ 11.12% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-1 @ 8.39% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 1.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.24%
0-1 @ 4.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.79% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 8.25%

How you voted: Senegal vs Mozambique

Senegal
87.5%
Draw
4.2%
Mozambique
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 2.30pm
Third-Place Playoff
Mozambique
1-1
Senegal
Senegal win 4-2 on penalties
King (90+3')
Foia (36')
Diouf (78' pen.)
Faye (25'), Mane (60'), Diouf (88')
Jul 9, 2021 2pm
Senegal
1-0
Mozambique
P (63')
Hadji Madicke Kane (15'), W (82'), M (86')
rhs 2.0
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