MX23RW : Saturday, February 1 09:03:13| >> :60:207:207:
Algeria national football team
African Nations Championship | Final
Feb 4, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
 
Senegal national football team

Algeria
0 - 0
Senegal


Meziane (23'), Kendouci (75'), Mahious (108'), Eddine Mrezigue (111')
FT

Sidibe (15'), Camara (23'), Sane (31'), Ngom (120')
Senegal win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's African Nations Championship clash between Algeria and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Algeria 5-0 Niger
Tuesday, January 31 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Madagascar
Tuesday, January 31 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

We said: Algeria 2-1 Senegal

Given the plethora of attacking talent on display, we are expecting an open contest with goals at both ends. That said, we just about fancy Algeria to emerge victorious and lift the CHAN trophy on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 46.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Senegal had a probability of 26.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Senegal win it was 0-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
AlgeriaDrawSenegal
46.4%27.32%26.28%
Both teams to score 46.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.47%58.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.89%79.1%
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77%25.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.02%59.97%
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.84%38.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.08%74.91%
Score Analysis
    Algeria 46.39%
    Senegal 26.28%
    Draw 27.31%
AlgeriaDrawSenegal
1-0 @ 13.25%
2-0 @ 9.13%
2-1 @ 8.8%
3-0 @ 4.19%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.44%
4-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 46.39%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 9.63%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 9.28%
1-2 @ 6.15%
0-2 @ 4.47%
1-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 26.28%

How you voted: Winner SF1 vs Winner SF2

Winner Semi-final 1
92.3%
Draw
7.7%
Winner Semi-final 2
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 5.30pm
International Friendly
Algeria
2-2
Senegal
Kendouci (27'), Mahious (61')
Kante (10')
Jul 19, 2019 8pm
Third Place Playoff
Senegal
0-1
Algeria
Jun 27, 2019 6pm
Group C
Senegal
0-1
Algeria

Kouyate (16'), Keita (39')
Belaili (49')
Benlamri (21'), Atal (24')
Jan 23, 2017 7pm
Group B
Senegal
2-2
Algeria
Kouli Diop (44'), Sow (53')
Diedhiou (74')
Slimani (10', 52')
Ghoulam (39'), Bentaleb (39'), Cadamuro (58')
Jan 27, 2015 6pm
Group C
Senegal
0-2
Algeria

Badji (41'), Biram Diouf (67'), Souare (81')
Mahrez (11'), Bentaleb (82')
Taider (52'), M'Bolhi (78')
rhs 2.0
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