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Africa Cup of Nations
Sierra Leone national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex
Zambia national football team

Sierra Leone
0 - 2
Zambia


Sillah (14'), Fornah (50'), Dunia (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Banda (55'), Musonda (71')
Banda (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Sierra Leone and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sierra Leone

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Chad 1-1 Sierra Leone
Wednesday, November 13 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Zambia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zambia 1-0 Ivory Coast
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Sierra Leone 1-2 Zambia

 With their fate already sealed, Tuesday's game is a dead rubber for Sierra Leone, while Zambia will be aiming to beat Ivory Coast to first place in the table. The Chipolopolo boast a significantly superior squad on paper and we fancy them to close out the qualifying campaign on a high. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Sierra Leone win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.

Result
Sierra LeoneDrawZambia
26.66% (0.399 0.4) 26.56% (0.583 0.58) 46.78% (-0.978 -0.98)
Both teams to score 48.63% (-1.379 -1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.4% (-1.946 -1.95)55.6% (1.949 1.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (-1.616 -1.62)76.76% (1.619 1.62)
Sierra Leone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.77% (-0.724 -0.72)36.22% (0.726 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (-0.744 -0.74)73.01% (0.747 0.75)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25% (-1.281 -1.28)23.75% (1.285 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1% (-1.88 -1.88)57.9% (1.882 1.88)
Score Analysis
    Sierra Leone 26.66%
    Zambia 46.77%
    Draw 26.56%
Sierra LeoneDrawZambia
1-0 @ 8.74% (0.477 0.48)
2-1 @ 6.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.44% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.16% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.095 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.5% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 26.66%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.629 0.63)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 12.36% (0.46 0.46)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 8.89% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.257 -0.26)
0-3 @ 4.26% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 46.77%

How you voted: Sierra Leone vs Zambia

Sierra Leone
16.7%
Draw
25.0%
Zambia
58.3%
24
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Zambia
3-2
Sierra Leone
Musonda (28'), Kampamba (70'), Kangwa (85')
Chaiwa (30')
Kargbo (33'), Mustapha (73')
Mustapha (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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