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South Sudan national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Preliminary Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 26, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Municipal de Berkane
Sao Tome and Principe national football team

South Sudan
0 - 0
Sao Tome

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Preliminary Round clash between South Sudan and Sao Tome & Principe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Tome 1-1 South Sudan
Friday, March 22 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sao Tome 1-1 South Sudan
Friday, March 22 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Sudan win with a probability of 66.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 14.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Sudan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
South SudanDrawSao Tome & Principe
66.15% (-1.404 -1.4) 19.61% (0.708 0.71) 14.24% (0.69 0.69)
Both teams to score 50.8% (-0.526 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1% (-1.663 -1.66)42.89% (1.659 1.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7% (-1.667 -1.67)65.3% (1.664 1.66)
South Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.9% (-0.861 -0.86)12.1% (0.856 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.34% (-1.847 -1.85)37.66% (1.843 1.84)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.79% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)42.2% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.39% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)78.61% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    South Sudan 66.13%
    Sao Tome & Principe 14.24%
    Draw 19.61%
South SudanDrawSao Tome & Principe
2-0 @ 11.38% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 10.78% (0.42 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 8.02% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-1 @ 6.92% (-0.206 -0.21)
4-0 @ 4.23% (-0.274 -0.27)
4-1 @ 3.65% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.091 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.79% (-0.182 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.105 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.54% (-0.159 -0.16)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 66.13%
1-1 @ 9.31% (0.358 0.36)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.366 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 19.61%
0-1 @ 4.41% (0.312 0.31)
1-2 @ 4.01% (0.151 0.15)
0-2 @ 1.9% (0.133 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.15% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 14.24%

Head to Head
Mar 22, 2024 7pm
Preliminary Round 1st Leg
Sao Tome
1-1
South Sudan
Dhata (78')
rhs 2.0
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