MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 00:04:55| >> :600:697552:697552:
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World Cup
Sao Tome and Principe national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade d'Agadir
Namibia national football team

Sao Tome
0 - 2
Namibia


Silva (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tjiueza (9'), Mateus (75' og.)
Amutenya (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Sao Tome & Principe and Namibia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Tome & Principe

Last Game: Tunisia 4-0 Sao Tome
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Namibia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Namibia
Wednesday, November 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Sao Tome & Principe 0-1 Namibia

 With both sides falling to defeat in their opening games, this is a must win match for both teams if they are to stand any realistic chance of reaching their first ever World Cup. While that will be a tall order for both nations regardless of Tuesday's outcome, Namibia clearly possess a little more quality and should narrowly get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 12.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.87%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Namibia would win this match.

Result
Sao Tome & PrincipeDrawNamibia
12.04% (0.741 0.74) 20.64% (0.668 0.67) 67.32% (-1.407 -1.41)
Both teams to score 41.58% (0.306 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.01% (-0.901 -0.9)51.99% (0.90199999999999 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27% (-0.784 -0.78)73.73% (0.78399999999999 0.78)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.67% (0.76199999999999 0.76)51.33% (-0.761 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.43% (0.502 0.5)85.57% (-0.5 -0.5)
Namibia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45% (-0.71900000000001 -0.72)14.56% (0.721 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.39% (-1.407 -1.41)42.61% (1.408 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Sao Tome & Principe 12.04%
    Namibia 67.32%
    Draw 20.64%
Sao Tome & PrincipeDrawNamibia
1-0 @ 4.98% (0.282 0.28)
2-1 @ 3.2% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 1.66% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 12.04%
1-1 @ 9.6% (0.306 0.31)
0-0 @ 7.47% (0.265 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.09% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 20.64%
0-1 @ 14.4% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 13.87% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 8.91% (-0.382 -0.38)
1-3 @ 5.94% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-4 @ 4.3% (-0.302 -0.3)
1-4 @ 2.86% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.66% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-5 @ 1.1% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 67.32%

How you voted: Sao Tome vs Namibia

Sao Tome & Principe
7.7%
Draw
15.4%
Namibia
76.9%
13
rhs 2.0
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