Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade 26 Mars
Mali4 - 0South Sudan
FT(HT: 2-0)
Toha (74'), Mawa Christopher Lokosang (90')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Congo 0-2 Mali
Sunday, June 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, June 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Last Game: Egypt 3-0 South Sudan
Sunday, June 18 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, June 18 at 6pm in International Friendlies
We said: Mali 2-0 South Sudan
South Sudan have struggled massively for goals of late, and we can see them firing another blank in this one. We also fancy Mali to cruise to a routine victory without having to break too much sweat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 74.25%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 8.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.43%) and 3-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.
Result | ||
Mali | Draw | South Sudan |
74.25% ( -0.51) | 17.16% ( 0.28) | 8.59% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 39.91% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.94% ( -0.47) | 47.06% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.7% ( -0.44) | 69.3% ( 0.43) |
Mali Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.92% ( -0.26) | 11.09% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.53% ( -0.58) | 35.47% ( 0.58) |
South Sudan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.89% ( 0.23) | 55.11% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.05% ( 0.14) | 87.95% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Mali 74.23%
South Sudan 8.59%
Draw 17.16%
Mali | Draw | South Sudan |
2-0 @ 14.77% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 13.43% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.31% Total : 74.23% | 1-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.42% Total : 17.16% | 0-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.48% Total : 8.59% |
How you voted: Mali vs South Sudan
Mali
71.4%Draw
0.0%South Sudan
28.6%7
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-29 12:43:28
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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