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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Togo national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de Kegue
Equatorial Guinea national football team

Togo
3 - 0
Eq Guinea

Annor (14', 87'), Denkey (54')
Annor (65'), Franck Elie Mawuena (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Joel Akogo Esono Nchama (60'), Obiang (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Togo and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Togo

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Liberia 1-0 Togo
Wednesday, November 13 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 0-0 Algeria
Thursday, November 14 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Togo 1-2 Equatorial Guinea

 Togo have endured a disappointing AFCON qualifying campaign largely due to their struggles at both ends of the pitch, and Equatorial Guinea will be confident of securing the win here.   We are tipping the visitors to narrowly get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes in Lome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 18.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Togo would win this match.

Result
TogoDrawEquatorial Guinea
54.96% (-1.503 -1.5) 26.15% (0.219 0.22) 18.89% (1.286 1.29)
Both teams to score 41.34% (1.387 1.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.37% (0.72 0.72)60.63% (-0.717 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.28% (0.538 0.54)80.71% (-0.538 -0.54)
Togo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.74% (-0.32900000000001 -0.33)22.26% (0.33 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.3% (-0.497 -0.5)55.7% (0.499 0.5)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.18% (2 2)46.82% (-1.998 -2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.65% (1.475 1.48)82.35% (-1.475 -1.47)
Score Analysis
    Togo 54.95%
    Equatorial Guinea 18.89%
    Draw 26.15%
TogoDrawEquatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 15.65% (-0.59 -0.59)
2-0 @ 11.76% (-0.56 -0.56)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.343 -0.34)
3-1 @ 4.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.093 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 54.95%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 10.42% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-2 @ 3.39% (0.218 0.22)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 7.91% (0.232 0.23)
1-2 @ 4.51% (0.333 0.33)
0-2 @ 3% (0.249 0.25)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 18.89%

How you voted: Togo vs Eq Guinea

Togo
23.1%
Draw
34.6%
Equatorial Guinea
42.3%
26
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2024 4pm
Group Stage
Eq Guinea
2-2
Togo
Nlavo (17'), Buyla (75')
Nlavo (28')
Aholou (45'), Fo-Doh Laba (90+5')
Amenyido (24'), Klidje (82'), Fo-Doh Laba (90+6')
> Preview
Sep 27, 2022 3pm
International Friendly
Eq Guinea
2-2
Togo
Bikoro (54' pen., 84')
Henen (17'), Fo-Doh Laba (29')
Oct 13, 2019 2pm
International Friendlies
Eq Guinea
1-1
Togo
rhs 2.0
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