Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2024 at 5pm UK
Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex
Liberia1 - 2Eq Guinea
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Liberia
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Liberia
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
We said: Liberia 0-0 Equatorial Guinea
Liberia have struggled offensively recently, failing to score in their last two matches, but we believe that they have sufficient defensive solidity to hold an Equatorial Guinea side that failed to register a shot on target in open play last Friday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 36.24%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 31.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.36%) and 2-1 (6.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.35%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (13.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Liberia | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
36.24% ( 0.42) | 32.05% ( 0.18) | 31.71% ( -0.6) |
Both teams to score 36.92% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
28.92% ( -0.52) | 71.07% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
12.09% ( -0.33) | 87.91% ( 0.33) |
Liberia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.44% ( -0.01) | 37.56% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.66% ( -0.01) | 74.34% ( 0.01) |
Equatorial Guinea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.13% ( -0.77) | 40.87% ( 0.77) |