Africa Cup of Nations | Quarter-Finals
Feb 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
Congo DR3 - 1Guinea
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Egypt 1-1 Congo DR (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, January 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Sunday, January 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
We said: Congo DR 1-0 Guinea
Both sides have scored three goals each at the finals, and this last eight tie could be decided by a lone goal, with the DRC eking out a marginal win over Guinea. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.69%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Congo DR | Draw | Guinea |
| 51.92% | 28.83% | 19.25% |
| Both teams to score 35.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
