Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a GAIS win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a GAIS win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.