MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:19:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20
Jun 11, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
1 - 1
Lanus

Benedetto (88')
Medina (34'), Varela (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diaz (45+1')
Orozco (49'), Jose Caceres (52'), Lema (84'), Esquivel (85'), Aguirre (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Lanus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lanus 2-1 Tucuman
Monday, June 5 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Boca Juniors 2-1 Lanus

Although Lanus head into this match in better form, we expect Boca Juniors to record a win for the fourth time in their last five league games this weekend. The hosts have made a disappointing defence of their title so far this season, but they still have time to turn things around, and had looked capable of doing so before Weigandt's red card cost them in their last league match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 52.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawLanus
52.89% (-0.654 -0.65) 27.41% (0.156 0.16) 19.7% (0.499 0.5)
Both teams to score 39.49% (0.285 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.3% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)63.7% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.03% (0.0010000000000012 0)82.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.5% (-0.294 -0.29)24.5% (0.298 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.04% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)58.96% (0.42 0.42)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.3% (0.58 0.58)47.7% (-0.577 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.99% (0.425 0.42)83.01% (-0.422 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 52.88%
    Lanus 19.7%
    Draw 27.4%
Boca JuniorsDrawLanus
1-0 @ 16.43% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 11.56% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.49% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 52.88%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 3.17% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 27.4%
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.142 0.14)
1-2 @ 4.5% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.11% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 19.7%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Lanus

Boca Juniors
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Lanus
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 1.30am
Apr 17, 2022 11pm
gameweek 10
Boca Juniors
1-1
Lanus
Villa (5')
Rojo (41'), Campuzano (54'), Vasquez (90+4')
Sand (25')
Acosta (35'), Di Placido (49'), Pasquini (73'), Braghieri (90+4')
Oct 10, 2021 12.15am
Second Phase
Boca Juniors
4-2
Lanus
Weigandt (32'), Almendra (38'), Vasquez (50'), Pavon (90+3' pen.)
Malcorra (23'), Braghieri (82')
May 2, 2021 2pm
First Phase
Boca Juniors
1-0
Lanus
Izquierdoz (75')
Almendra (45'), Medina (52'), Capaldo (68'), Belmonte (73'), Soldano (86'), Maroni (89'), Manuel Lopez (90+4')
Nov 20, 2020 10.20pm
Group Stage
Boca Juniors
1-2
Lanus
Abila (86')
Lopez (52'), Zarate (52'), Abila (55'), Jara (70'), Capaldo (71'), Buffarini (82'), Cardona (89')
Orsini (28', 45')
Morales (44'), Belmonte (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9Platense238961816233
10Instituto239592925432
11Deportivo Riestra238872424032
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
13IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
14BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
22Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916


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