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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Oct 10, 2021 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Alberto J. Armando

Boca Juniors
4 - 2
Lanus

Weigandt (32'), Almendra (38'), Vasquez (50'), Pavon (90+3' pen.)
Campuzano (66'), Vasquez (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Malcorra (23'), Braghieri (82')
Belmonte (25'), Malcorra (37')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Boca Juniors and Lanus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 46.19%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 25.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawLanus
46.19%28.54%25.27%
Both teams to score 42.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.9%63.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.46%82.54%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55%27.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.06%62.93%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.37%41.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.89%78.11%
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 46.19%
    Lanus 25.27%
    Draw 28.52%
Boca JuniorsDrawLanus
1-0 @ 14.77%
2-0 @ 9.55%
2-1 @ 8.37%
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-1 @ 3.61%
3-2 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 46.19%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 11.42%
2-2 @ 3.67%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.52%
0-1 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 5.67%
0-2 @ 4.39%
1-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 25.27%

Head to Head
May 2, 2021 2pm
First Phase
Boca Juniors
1-0
Lanus
Izquierdoz (75')
Almendra (45'), Medina (52'), Capaldo (68'), Belmonte (73'), Soldano (86'), Maroni (89'), Manuel Lopez (90+4')
Nov 20, 2020 10.20pm
Group Stage
Boca Juniors
1-2
Lanus
Abila (86')
Lopez (52'), Zarate (52'), Abila (55'), Jara (70'), Capaldo (71'), Buffarini (82'), Cardona (89')
Orsini (28', 45')
Morales (44'), Belmonte (54')
Nov 1, 2020 12.15am
Group Stage
Lanus
1-2
Boca Juniors
Sand (24')
Thaller (18'), Burdisso (32')
Tevez (19'), Abila (56')
Zambrano (45+3'), Capaldo (71'), Campuzano (73')
Nov 1, 2019 12.20am
Gameweek 11
Lanus
2-1
Boca Juniors
Sand (9'), Auzqui (49')
Auzqui (25'), Valenti (33'), Di Placido (68'), Quignon (71'), Belmonte (77'), Sand (89')
Zarate (35')
Zarate (28'), Almendra (30'), Buffarini (36'), Izquierdoz (55'), Mas (93')
Izquierdoz (80')
Feb 17, 2019 10.20pm
Gameweek 19
Boca Juniors
2-1
Lanus
Mas (55'), Zarate (60')
Campuzano (43')
Sand (59')
Belmonte (32'), Sand (81'), Quignon (85'), Pasquini (93')
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