Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 20, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Libertadores de América
Independiente0 - 2Defensa
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Defensa y Justicia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Independiente
Sunday, February 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, February 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Newell's OB
Saturday, February 11 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, February 11 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 48.06%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Independiente | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
48.06% ( -0.02) | 27.85% ( 0.01) | 24.09% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 43.07% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.34% ( -0.02) | 61.66% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.51% ( -0.01) | 81.49% ( 0.02) |
Independiente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.16% ( -0.02) | 25.84% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.19% ( -0.02) | 60.81% ( 0.03) |
Defensa y Justicia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.09% ( 0) | 41.91% ( -0) |