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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Mar 4, 2023 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

Lanus
0 - 2
River Plate


Canale (50'), Loaiza (72'), Belmonte (90+3'), Morales (90+6')
Kudelka (14')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Paradela (25'), Beltran (88')
Fernandez (13'), Barco (70'), Gonzalez Pirez (72'), Armani (80'), Diaz (90+6')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 2-1 Lanus
Monday, February 27 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-2 Arsenal
Sunday, February 26 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 58.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 18.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Lanus win it was 1-0 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawRiver Plate
18.04% (-0.755 -0.75) 23.29% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 58.67% (0.854 0.85)
Both teams to score 47.55% (-1.008 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.41% (-0.663 -0.66)51.59% (0.667 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.62% (-0.581 -0.58)73.38% (0.583 0.58)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.5% (-1.266 -1.27)42.5% (1.27 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.14% (-1.102 -1.1)78.86% (1.106 1.11)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.7% (0.067999999999998 0.07)17.3% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.35% (0.116 0.12)47.65% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 18.04%
    River Plate 58.66%
    Draw 23.29%
LanusDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 6.29% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 4.72% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-0 @ 2.69% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 1.35% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 18.04%
1-1 @ 11.03% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.35% (0.194 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.29%
0-1 @ 12.9% (0.37 0.37)
0-2 @ 11.31% (0.34 0.34)
1-2 @ 9.68% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.62% (0.214 0.21)
1-3 @ 5.66% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.9% (0.1 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.02% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 58.66%

Head to Head
Jun 26, 2022 12.30am
River Plate
2-1
Lanus
Paradela (26'), Romero (33')
Romero (37'), Fernandez (58')
Acosta (35')
Perez (14'), Belmonte (32'), Aguirre (88'), Aguilar (89')
Perez (90+3'), Aguilar (90+5')
Jul 29, 2021 1am
Lanus
0-3
River Plate

Aude (12'), Gonzalez (29'), Bernabei (78')
Zuculini (31'), De La Cruz (41', 51')
Carrascal (17'), Diaz (49')
Aug 4, 2019 9.45pm
River Plate
3-0
Lanus
Borre (23' pen.), Suarez (30', 87')
Carrascal (45'), Perez (67'), Fernandez (80'), Martinez (92')

Pasquini (28')
Sep 29, 2018 1.15am
Lanus
1-5
River Plate
Maciel (17')
Garcia (57')
Scocco (28'), Ibanez (53' og.), Lollo (58'), De La Cruz (64'), Palacios (71')
Lollo (34'), Moreira (75'), Sosa (83')
rhs 2.0
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