MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 15:55:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 25
Jul 15, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Estudiantes

River Plate
3 - 1
Estudiantes

Beltran (2'), de la Cruz (18'), Barco (31' pen.)
Fernandez (47')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Mendez (67')
Mancuso (38'), Zuqui (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: River Plate 2-1 Estudiantes

River Plate have proven to be an irresistible force at the Estadio Monumental, and we think that they will edge out Estudiantes to claim a 10th successive home victory in the Primera Division. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 12.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawEstudiantes
67.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 19.69% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 12.79% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.53% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)46.47% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.25% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)68.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.22% (0.00099999999999056 0)12.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.92% (0.0020000000000024 0)39.08%
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.36% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)46.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.79% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)82.21% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 67.51%
    Estudiantes 12.79%
    Draw 19.69%
River PlateDrawEstudiantes
2-0 @ 12.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 12.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 4.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 1.83% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 67.51%
1-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-0 @ 5.96% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 19.69%
0-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
1-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 12.79%

How you voted: River Plate vs Estudiantes

River Plate
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Estudiantes
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 1.30am
Oct 31, 2021 11.15pm
Second Phase
Estudiantes
1-1
River Plate
Diaz (51')
Pellegrini (72'), Tobio (80')
Rojas (45+2')
Jeremias Fernandez (6')
Feb 15, 2021 12.30am
First Phase
Estudiantes
2-1
River Plate
Noguera (72')
Tobio (45+2')
Perez (19'), Angileri (50'), Zuculini (60')
Feb 24, 2020 12.45am
Gameweek 21
Estudiantes
0-2
River Plate

Gomez (57'), Rodriguez (72'), Mascherano (73'), Estevez (81')
Borre (22'), Suarez (64')
Borre (45')
Nov 3, 2018 8.45pm
Gameweek 11
Estudiantes
1-0
River Plate
Fernandez (50' og.)
Noguera (44')

Sosa (13'), Zuculini (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823


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