MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:52:30| >> :60:21:21:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
2 - 0
The Strongest

Aliendro (13'), Borja (90')
de la Cruz (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Triverio (37'), Ursino (54'), Quiroga (67'), Arrascaita (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between River Plate and The Strongest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Instituto
Thursday, June 22 at 11.45pm in Argentine Primera Division

The Strongest

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: The Strongest 1-2 Cristal
Thursday, June 8 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

We said: River Plate 3-1 The Strongest

 River Plate will be confident of securing their safe passage through to the knockout stages with a victory, and we expect them to do so given their superior individual ability. The Strongest are regular qualifiers for the Copa Libertadores, but they rarely make it beyond the group stages, and we think that will be the case once again this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 83.05%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 5.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.18%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (1.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for River Plate.

Result
River PlateDrawThe Strongest
83.05% (-0.31999999999999 -0.32) 11.59% (0.212 0.21) 5.37% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 42.67% (-0.134 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.7% (-0.583 -0.58)33.3% (0.586 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.93% (-0.671 -0.67)55.07% (0.67299999999999 0.67)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.11% (-0.17 -0.17)5.89% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.42% (-0.48999999999999 -0.49)22.58% (0.494 0.49)
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.34% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)54.66% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.32% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)87.68% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 83.04%
    The Strongest 5.37%
    Draw 11.59%
River PlateDrawThe Strongest
2-0 @ 12.91% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 12.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.185 0.19)
4-0 @ 8.63% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.36% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.21% (-0.067 -0.07)
5-0 @ 4.88% (-0.106 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.95% (-0.07 -0.07)
6-0 @ 2.3% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.39% (-0.048 -0.05)
7-0 @ 0.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 83.04%
1-1 @ 5.51% (0.102 0.1)
0-0 @ 3.22% (0.098 0.1)
2-2 @ 2.36% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 11.59%
0-1 @ 1.95% (0.056 0.06)
1-2 @ 1.66% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 5.37%

How you voted: River Plate vs The Strongest

River Plate
63.6%
Draw
18.2%
The Strongest
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
The Strongest
3-1
River Plate
Triverio (25' pen., 35'), Castillo (48')
Beltran (66' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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