MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 18:01:30| >> :600:2107905:2107905:
Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 25, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
8 - 1
Alianza Lima

Alvarez (15', 18', 41', 54', 57', 83'), Simon (53'), Gomez (79')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Lavandeira (89' pen.)
Vilchez (14'), Rodriguez (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between River Plate and Alianza Lima, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

Last Six:
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 River Plate
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: River Plate vs. Tucuman
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Alianza Lima

Last Six:
    Last Game: River Plate 8-1 Alianza Lima
    Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

    We said: River Plate 3-1 Alianza Lima

     The hosts have won both of their home group games by a combined 6-0 scoreline, and we think that River Plate will grab another home win on Wednesday when they face an Alianza Lima side that have picked up just one point in their five group matches. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 19.51%.

    The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for an Alianza Lima win it was 1-2 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

    Result
    River PlateDrawAlianza Lima
    58.88% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 21.61% (0.0010000000000012 0) 19.51% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
    Both teams to score 55.46% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    57.64% (0.024000000000001 0.02)42.36% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    35.23% (0.024999999999999 0.02)64.77% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
    River Plate Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    85.94% (0.0040000000000049 0)14.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    58.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)41.65%
    Alianza Lima Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    64.53% (0.034999999999997 0.03)35.47% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    27.77% (0.036999999999999 0.04)72.23% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
    Score Analysis
        River Plate 58.88%
        Alianza Lima 19.51%
        Draw 21.61%
    River PlateDrawAlianza Lima
    2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
    1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
    2-0 @ 9.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
    3-1 @ 6.5%
    3-0 @ 6.28% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
    3-2 @ 3.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    4-1 @ 3.19%
    4-0 @ 3.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    4-2 @ 1.65% (0.0010000000000001 0)
    5-1 @ 1.25%
    5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    Other @ 3.02%
    Total : 58.88%
    		1-1 @ 10.14%
    2-2 @ 5.16% (0.0040000000000004 0)
    0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    3-3 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
    Other @ 0.16%
    Total : 21.61%
    		1-2 @ 5.26% (0.0040000000000004 0)
    0-1 @ 5.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
    0-2 @ 2.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    1-3 @ 1.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0029999999999999 0)
    0-3 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
    Other @ 1.88%
    Total : 19.51%

    How you voted: River Plate vs Alianza Lima

    River Plate
    76.2%
    Draw
    14.3%
    Alianza Lima
    9.5%
    21
    Head to Head
    Apr 7, 2022 1am
    Alianza Lima
    0-1
    River Plate

    Valenzuela (67'), Ballon (87')
    Rodriguez (88')
    Suarez (65')
    Apr 11, 2019 11pm
    Group A
    River Plate
    3-0
    Alianza Lima
    Suarez (15'), Martinez (54'), De La Cruz (93')
    Martinez (56'), Pinola (61')

    Guidino (10'), Duclos (24'), Cartagena (79')
    Mar 7, 2019 12.30am
    Group A
    Alianza Lima
    1-1
    River Plate
    Manzaneda (31')
    Cartagena (71'), Riojas (79'), Rodriguez (81'), Gallese (92')
    Ferreira (96')
    Borre (79'), Ferreira (86'), Montiel (87')
    rhs 2.0
    Today's games header
    > View full version> Yesterday's results
    Tables header RHS
    TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
    1Liverpool119112161528
    2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
    3Chelsea115422113819
    4Arsenal115421812619
    5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
    6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
    7Fulham115331613318
    8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
    9Aston Villa115331717018
    10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
    11Brentford115152222016
    12Bournemouth114341515015
    13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
    14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
    15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
    16Everton112451017-710
    17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
    18Crystal Palace11146815-77
    19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
    20Southampton11119721-144
    > Premier League Full Table


    Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
    Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!