MX23RW : Tuesday, February 4 05:05:17| >> :600:29332496:29332496:
Iraq national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 19, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Education City Stadium
Japan national football team

Iraq
2 - 1
Japan

Hussein (5', 45+4')
Natiq (15')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Endo (90+3')
Ito (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Asian Cup clash between Iraq and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Indonesia 1-3 Iraq
Monday, January 15 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup
All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Japan 4-2 Vietnam
Sunday, January 14 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

We said: Iraq 1-3 Japan

It has been quite some time since anyone has figured out how to slow down this dynamic Japanese attack, who continue to score at a torrid pace, and that alone should be more than enough to earn them another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Iraq win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
IraqDrawJapan
34.84% (-1.857 -1.86) 24.12% (0.214 0.21) 41.04% (1.646 1.65)
Both teams to score 60.68% (-1.095 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.24% (-1.303 -1.3)41.76% (1.306 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.84% (-1.326 -1.33)64.16% (1.33 1.33)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (-1.582 -1.58)23.65% (1.586 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.25% (-2.338 -2.34)57.75% (2.341 2.34)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (0.212 0.21)20.52% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (0.329 0.33)53.03% (-0.325 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Iraq 34.84%
    Japan 41.04%
    Draw 24.12%
IraqDrawJapan
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.229 -0.23)
1-0 @ 7% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.3 -0.3)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.206 -0.21)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.18 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.84%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 4.85% (0.28 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.217 0.22)
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.489 0.49)
0-2 @ 6.09% (0.423 0.42)
1-3 @ 4.63% (0.144 0.14)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.21% (0.242 0.24)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.068 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 41.04%

How you voted: Iraq vs Japan

Iraq
14.9%
Draw
5.4%
Japan
79.7%
74
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Chelsea24127547311643
5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!