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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newport County win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Morecambe has a probability of 28.81% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Morecambe win is 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.82%).
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Morecambe |
47.68% ( 8.64) | 23.51% ( -1.55) | 28.81% ( -7.09) |
Both teams to score 60.02% ( 2.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.6% ( 4.59) | 41.39% ( -4.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.2% ( 4.5) | 63.79% ( -4.5) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.41% ( 5.75) | 17.58% ( -5.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.85% ( 9.15) | 48.15% ( -9.15) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.83% ( -2.14) | 27.16% ( 2.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.43% ( -2.88) | 62.56% ( 2.88) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Morecambe |
2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.84) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 1.03) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 1.3) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( 1.18) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.67) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.86) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.73) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.5) Other @ 3.85% Total : 47.68% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.95) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( -1.06) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -1.1) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -1.87) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -1.55) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.7) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.83) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.31) Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 30 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 30 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |