MX23RW : Monday, January 20 20:54:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 25
Feb 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Morecambe

Newport
vs.
Morecambe

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Newport County and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 3-2 Newport
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League Two
Next Game: Newport vs. Swindon
Friday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Crewe
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League Two
Next Game: Colchester vs. Morecambe
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Newport County 3-1 Morecambe

With Morecambe having improved of late, there is an argument that they are the favourites to overcome their hosts. Nevertheless, given the level of Newport's most recent opponents, we are backing the Welsh side to bounce back with a morale-boosting win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newport County win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Morecambe has a probability of 28.81% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Morecambe win is 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.82%).

Result
Newport CountyDrawMorecambe
47.68% (8.64 8.64) 23.51% (-1.55 -1.55) 28.81% (-7.09 -7.09)
Both teams to score 60.02% (2.546 2.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.6% (4.589 4.59)41.39% (-4.591 -4.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.2% (4.498 4.5)63.79% (-4.5 -4.5)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.41% (5.752 5.75)17.58% (-5.753 -5.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.85% (9.145 9.15)48.15% (-9.146 -9.15)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (-2.142 -2.14)27.16% (2.141 2.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43% (-2.876 -2.88)62.56% (2.876 2.88)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 47.68%
    Morecambe 28.81%
    Draw 23.51%
Newport CountyDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.839 0.84)
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-0 @ 7.22% (1.033 1.03)
3-1 @ 5.45% (1.295 1.3)
3-0 @ 4.18% (1.182 1.18)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.673 0.67)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.857 0.86)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.726 0.73)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.496 0.5)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 47.68%
1-1 @ 10.82% (-0.95 -0.95)
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.195 0.2)
0-0 @ 4.78% (-1.064 -1.06)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.214 0.21)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 7.05% (-1.103 -1.1)
0-1 @ 6.23% (-1.865 -1.87)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-1.548 -1.55)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.703 -0.7)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.826 -0.83)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.306 -0.31)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 28.81%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Morecambe
0-1
Newport

Tutonda (20'), Edwards (32'), Lewis (74'), Songo'o (89')
Wildig (9')
Baker-Richardson (32'), Mawene (65'), Kamwa (72'), Townsend (80')
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Newport
5-3
Morecambe
Wildig (12', 54'), Lewis (18'), Charsley (78'), Palmer-Houlden (90+7')
Wildig (33'), Evans (40'), Jameson (67')
Edwards (31', 74'), Stokes (70')
Tutonda (23')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Morecambe
1-2
Newport
Mellon (12')
Major (90+6')
Evans (28'), Palmer-Houlden (57')
Bennett (85')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Morecambe
1-0
Newport
Wildig (68')
Wootton (12')
May 31, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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