MX23RW : Monday, January 20 11:53:33| >> :600:787361:787361:
Port Vale
EFL Trophy | Third Round
Feb 4, 2025 at 7pm UK
Vale Park
Wrexham AFC

Port Vale
vs.
Wrexham

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Third Round clash between Port Vale and Wrexham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 1-2 Port Vale
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League Two
Next Game: Port Vale vs. Newport
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Next Game: Shrewsbury vs. Wrexham
Thursday, January 16 at 8pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Port Vale win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Wrexham has a probability of 31.49% and a draw has a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Wrexham win is 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.03%).

Result
Port ValeDrawWrexham
40.82% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 27.68% (0.169 0.17) 31.49% (-0.168 -0.17)
Both teams to score 47.99% (-0.54499999999999 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.34% (-0.663 -0.66)57.66% (0.662 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.58% (-0.529 -0.53)78.42% (0.526 0.53)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (-0.312 -0.31)27.73% (0.311 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (-0.402 -0.4)63.3% (0.402 0.4)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.41% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)33.59% (0.465 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.76% (-0.513 -0.51)70.23% (0.51299999999999 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 40.82%
    Wrexham 31.49%
    Draw 27.68%
Port ValeDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 11.94% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.66% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 40.82%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.31% (0.232 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 10.16% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.54%
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 31.49%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2024 7.45pm
Group Stage
Port Vale
1-1
Wrexham
(Aggregate 1-1 | Port Vale win 3-1 on penalties)
Richards (82')
Cleworth (51')
Nov 7, 2023 7.30pm
Group Stage
Wrexham
2-1
Port Vale
Mullin (70'), McClean (83')
McClean (73')
Thomas (31')
McDermott (90+7')
Apr 26, 2005 3pm
Port Vale
0-2
Wrexham

Birchall (76'), Walsh (83')
Holt (21'), Llewellyn (42')
Crowell (10'), Llewellyn (41')
Aug 21, 2004 3pm
Wrexham
1-1
Port Vale
Holt (72')
Llewellyn (65'), Ferguson (90')
Brooker (64')
James (51'), Hulbert (62')
rhs 2.0
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