MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 03:32:55| >> :600:28117354:28117354:
United Arab Emirates national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Khalifa International Stadium

UAE
3 - 1
Hong Kong

Adill Alamiri (34' pen.), Sultan (52'), Alghassani (90+5' pen.)
Idrees (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kwan Chan (49')
Nam Yue (27'), Gerbig (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Asian Cup clash between United Arab Emirates and Hong Kong, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: UAE 0-1 Oman
Saturday, January 6 at 3.15pm in International Friendlies

We said: United Arab Emirates 2-0 Hong Kong

The United Arab Emirates are certainly a side to keep an eye on through this tournament and have the much better side on paper in this contest. Hong Kong are expected to give it their all, as they always do, but we are backing the Sons of Zayed to clinch the first three points in this group. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 72.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 9.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.

Result
United Arab EmiratesDrawHong Kong
72.2% (-0.245 -0.25) 18.66% (0.181 0.18) 9.14% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 37.7% (-0.241 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.47% (-0.508 -0.51)51.53% (0.51 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.67% (-0.442 -0.44)73.33% (0.44499999999999 0.44)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.07% (-0.22 -0.22)12.93% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.61% (-0.456 -0.46)39.39% (0.46 0.46)
Hong Kong Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.3% (-0.167 -0.17)56.7% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.13% (-0.093 -0.09)88.87% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    United Arab Emirates 72.2%
    Hong Kong 9.14%
    Draw 18.66%
United Arab EmiratesDrawHong Kong
2-0 @ 15.34% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 15% (0.18 0.18)
3-0 @ 10.45% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 5.35% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.03% (-0.057 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.19% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 72.2%
1-1 @ 8.51% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.34% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 2.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 18.66%
0-1 @ 4.16% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 2.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.18% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 9.14%

How you voted: UAE vs Hong Kong

United Arab Emirates
68.4%
Draw
5.3%
Hong Kong
26.3%
19
rhs 2.0
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