Hong Kong

1 - 2

Tajikistan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Tajikistan had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Tajikistan win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.