Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mormont win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for Spa had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mormont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Spa win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%).
