Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Oct 28, 2023 at 11pm UK
Centro de Treinamento Flavio Pentagna Guimaraes
America Mineiro3 - 4Gremio
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between America Mineiro and Gremio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-2 America Mineiro
Wednesday, October 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Wednesday, October 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Gremio 3-2 Flamengo
Thursday, October 26 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, October 26 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
America Mineiro | Draw | Gremio |
40.92% ( -0.2) | 26.69% ( 0.1) | 32.39% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 51.27% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.36% ( -0.36) | 53.63% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.87% ( -0.3) | 75.13% ( 0.3) |
America Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.19% ( -0.27) | 25.8% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.24% ( -0.36) | 60.75% ( 0.36) |
Gremio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.1% ( -0.11) | 30.89% ( 0.11) |