Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
