Brasileiro | Gameweek 38
Dec 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia4 - 1Atletico Mineiro
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Atletico Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America Mineiro 3-2 Bahia
Sunday, December 3 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, December 3 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
46
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, December 3 at 12am in Brasileiro
Sunday, December 3 at 12am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
38.25% ( 0.31) | 27.07% ( -0.07) | 34.68% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 50.58% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
