Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Aug 13, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Atletico Mineiro1 - 0Bahia
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Bahia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, August 10 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, August 10 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Bahia |
56.89% ( 0.35) | 24.45% ( -0.15) | 18.66% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 45.33% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.87% ( 0.31) | 55.13% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.62% ( 0.26) | 76.37% ( -0.26) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.73% ( 0.25) | 19.27% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.99% ( 0.42) | 51% ( -0.42) |
Bahia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.15% ( -0.05) | 43.84% ( 0.04) |