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Botafogo logo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 33
Nov 9, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Gremio

Botafogo
3 - 4
Gremio

Costa (6'), Santos (29'), Freitas (46')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Galdino (9'), Suarez (50', 53', 69')
Carballo (25'), Pedro (79')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Botafogo
Monday, November 6 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Bahia
Saturday, November 4 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 51.15%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
BotafogoDrawGremio
51.15% (0.178 0.18) 23.76% (0.19 0.19) 25.09% (-0.365 -0.37)
Both teams to score 55.89% (-1.003 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6% (-1.153 -1.15)45.4% (1.157 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.27% (-1.113 -1.11)67.73% (1.116 1.12)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.22% (-0.366 -0.37)17.78% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.51% (-0.636 -0.64)48.49% (0.639 0.64)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (-0.913 -0.91)32.03% (0.916 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.51% (-1.052 -1.05)68.5% (1.055 1.06)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 51.15%
    Gremio 25.09%
    Draw 23.75%
BotafogoDrawGremio
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.366 0.37)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.49% (0.217 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 51.15%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.277 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.75%
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.158 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 25.09%

How you voted: Botafogo vs Gremio

Botafogo
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Gremio
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 14
Gremio
0-2
Botafogo

Reinaldo (30'), Cuiabano (79')
Eduardo (74'), Alberto (88')
Hugo (36'), Tiquinho (58'), Sampaio (76'), Tche (77'), Marcal (90+1')
Feb 8, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 35
Botafogo
2-5
Gremio
Navarro (56'), Babi (82')
Alisson (7'), Pyerre (17'), Churin (54' pen.), Henrique (74', 78')
Oct 14, 2020 11.15pm
Gameweek 16
Gremio
3-1
Botafogo
Souza (34'), Pepe (48', 66')
Henrique (31'), Souza (54'), Rodrigues (81')
Souza (53')
Babi (42')
Santos (30'), Babi (80')
Oct 27, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 28
Gremio
3-0
Botafogo
Souza (12'), Thaciano (71'), Everton (80')
Matheus (6'), Geromel (37'), Kannemann (91')

Santos (7'), Yuri (36')
Jun 12, 2019 11.15pm
Gameweek 9
Botafogo
0-1
Gremio

Yuri (83')
Pyerre (81')
Thaciano (61'), Andre (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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