Brasileiro | Gameweek 27
Sep 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Castelao
Ceara0 - 2Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Sao Paulo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ceara 2-1 Santos
Saturday, September 10 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, September 10 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 2 | 31 |
14 | Ceara | 26 | 0 | 31 |
15 | Fortaleza | 26 | -4 | 30 |
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, September 15 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil
Thursday, September 15 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Bragantino | 26 | 3 | 33 |
13 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 2 | 31 |
14 | Ceara | 26 | 0 | 31 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ceara | Draw | Sao Paulo |
42.58% ( 0.34) | 27.38% ( 0.09) | 30.04% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 48.3% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43% ( -0.49) | 57% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.1% ( -0.39) | 77.9% ( 0.39) |
Ceara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.52% ( -0.05) | 26.47% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.34% ( -0.06) | 61.66% ( 0.06) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.69% ( -0.59) | 34.31% ( 0.58) |