Brasileiro | Gameweek 29
Oct 26, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Cruzeiro3 - 0Bahia
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Cruzeiro and Bahia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-1 Cruzeiro
Sunday, October 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, October 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Fortaleza
Saturday, October 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, October 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
37
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.
Result | ||
Cruzeiro | Draw | Bahia |
49.01% ( -0.02) | 25.24% ( 0.01) | 25.75% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.79% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.9% ( -0.02) | 51.1% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.05% ( -0.02) | 72.95% ( 0.02) |
Cruzeiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.13% ( -0.02) | 20.87% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.43% ( -0.02) | 53.57% ( 0.03) |
Bahia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.45% ( 0) | 34.55% ( 0) |