Brasileiro | Gameweek 24
Sep 19, 2023 at 12am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia1 - 2Santos
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Santos.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Coritiba 2-4 Bahia
Friday, September 15 at 12am in Brasileiro
Friday, September 15 at 12am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: Santos 0-3 Cruzeiro
Thursday, September 14 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Thursday, September 14 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
21
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Santos had a probability of 16.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Santos |
61.1% ( -0.35) | 22.1% ( -0.5) | 16.8% ( 0.86) |
| Both teams to score 48.75% ( 3.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.26% ( 3.36) | 48.74% ( -3.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.16% ( 2.98) | 70.85% ( -2.97) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.52% ( 1.04) | 15.48% ( -1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.65% ( 1.9) | 44.35% ( -1.89) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.67% ( 3.12) | 42.33% ( -3.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.28% ( 2.57) | 78.72% ( -2.57) |
| Score Analysis |
Bahia 61.09%
Santos 16.8%
Draw 22.1%
| Bahia | Draw | Santos |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% ( -1.29) 2-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.77)2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.33)4-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.35)5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.2)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.19% Total : 61.09% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.95)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.43)Other @ 0.83% Total : 22.1% | 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.21)Other @ 1.73% Total : 16.8% |
How you voted: Bahia vs Santos
Bahia
57.1%Draw
14.3%Santos
28.6%7
Head to Head
May 31, 2023 11pm
May 10, 2023 11pm
Sep 12, 2021 1am
Feb 26, 2021 12.30am
Form Guide
