Brasileiro | Gameweek 24
Sep 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Fluminense1 - 0Cruzeiro
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Cruzeiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vasco 4-2 Fluminense
Saturday, September 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, September 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Santos 0-3 Cruzeiro
Thursday, September 14 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Thursday, September 14 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
23
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 50.57%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.
Result | ||
Fluminense | Draw | Cruzeiro |
50.57% ( -0.11) | 24.67% ( 0.03) | 24.76% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 52.61% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.43% ( -0.07) | 49.57% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.4% ( -0.07) | 71.59% ( 0.07) |
Fluminense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.39% ( -0.08) | 19.61% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.44% ( -0.12) | 51.55% ( 0.12) |
Cruzeiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.44% ( 0.03) | 34.56% ( -0.03) |