Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jun 11, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Flamengo3 - 0Gremio
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Racing
Friday, June 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, June 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
We said: Flamengo 1-1 Gremio
Given their plethora of fresh concerns and perennial defensive concerns on the road, no sheets should be clean on Gremio's side this week, but the in-form visitors boast the much fresher set of legs. Sampaoli is still blessed with options for change, but Flamengo's Copa Libertadores exploits will likely catch up to them, and both teams' winning streak could be brought to a halt in a tense draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 13.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Gremio |
67.59% ( 1.27) | 19.13% ( -0.33) | 13.27% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 49.75% ( -1.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.08% ( -0.67) | 42.92% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.68% ( -0.67) | 65.32% ( 0.67) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.28% ( 0.15) | 11.71% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.17% ( 0.32) | 36.83% ( -0.32) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.35% ( -1.83) | 43.65% ( 1.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.16% ( -1.55) | 79.84% ( 1.55) |
| Score Analysis |
Flamengo 67.58%
Gremio 13.27%
Draw 19.13%
| Flamengo | Draw | Gremio |
| 2-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.39)2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.39)3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.55% Total : 67.58% | 1-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.89% Total : 19.13% | 0-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.35% Total : 13.27% |
How you voted: Flamengo vs Gremio
Flamengo
83.3%Draw
0.0%Gremio
16.7%12
