Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Aug 20, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Fluminense5 - 2Coritiba
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Coritiba.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fluminense 2-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, August 18 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Thursday, August 18 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Corinthians | 22 | 5 | 39 |
4 | Fluminense | 22 | 7 | 38 |
5 | Athletico Paranaense | 22 | 1 | 37 |
Last Game: Coritiba 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, August 14 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 14 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Avai | 22 | -12 | 23 |
18 | Coritiba | 22 | -11 | 22 |
19 | Atletico Goianiense | 22 | -12 | 21 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 65.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 14.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
Result | ||
Fluminense | Draw | Coritiba |
65.94% ( 0.02) | 19.87% ( -0.05) | 14.19% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.82% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.86% ( 0.3) | 44.14% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.48% ( 0.29) | 66.52% ( -0.28) |
Fluminense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.47% ( 0.1) | 12.53% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.44% ( 0.19) | 38.56% ( -0.19) |
Coritiba Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.95% ( 0.24) | 43.04% ( -0.23) |