Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Jul 29, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza0 - 1Fluminense
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Quarter-Finals clash between Fortaleza and Fluminense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Santos
Sunday, July 24 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 24 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Atletico Goianiense | 19 | -10 | 17 |
19 | Juventude | 19 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Fortaleza | 19 | -8 | 15 |
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Bragantino
Sunday, July 24 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 24 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Corinthians | 19 | 5 | 35 |
3 | Fluminense | 19 | 9 | 34 |
4 | Atletico Mineiro | 19 | 7 | 32 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 35.92%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortaleza | Draw | Fluminense |
35.92% ( 0.19) | 29.3% ( 0.61) | 34.78% ( -0.79) |
Both teams to score 44.04% ( -1.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.17% ( -2.09) | 62.83% ( 2.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.66% ( -1.54) | 82.35% ( 1.55) |
Fortaleza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.74% ( -0.96) | 33.26% ( 0.96) |