MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:05:43| >> :60:60:60:
Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 1, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Fluminense

Olimpia
1 - 3
Fluminense

Zavala (44')
Cardozo (52'), Salazar (55'), Fernandez (73'), Ortiz (76')
Cardozo (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kennedy (24'), Cano (80', 90+1')
Melo (45+2'), Fabio (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Olimpia and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olimpia

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Olimpia
Friday, August 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-2 Fluminense
Sunday, August 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Olimpia 2-1 Fluminense

 Despite dominating the first leg, it is difficult to overlook the visitors away record, which shows no wins in their last 11 matches on the road. Fluminense have to get a goal in this match to give themselves some breathing room, and while they may manage to qualify for the next round, we feel they might lose this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
OlimpiaDrawFluminense
30.68% (0.626 0.63) 25.12% (0.004999999999999 0) 44.21% (-0.631 -0.63)
Both teams to score 55.65% (0.315 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (0.261 0.26)47.65% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (0.241 0.24)69.85% (-0.242 -0.24)
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.95% (0.559 0.56)29.05% (-0.56 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.04% (0.687 0.69)64.95% (-0.688 -0.69)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.44% (-0.178 -0.18)21.56% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.36% (-0.272 -0.27)54.64% (0.271 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Olimpia 30.68%
    Fluminense 44.21%
    Draw 25.11%
OlimpiaDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.037 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.34% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.79% (0.095999999999999 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.03% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.97% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 30.68%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 9.61% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.37% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-3 @ 4.66% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.77% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 44.21%

How you voted: Olimpia vs Fluminense

Olimpia
53.8%
Draw
7.7%
Fluminense
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2023 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Fluminense
2-0
Olimpia
Andre (43'), Cano (59')
Kennedy (87'), Nino (89'), Lele (90+1')

Gonzalez (24'), Cardozo (80'), Gamarra (87')
> Preview
Mar 17, 2022 12.30am
Third Round 2nd Leg
Olimpia
2-0
Fluminense
 Olimpia win 4-1 on penalties
Cardozo (15'), Ortiz (20'), Olveira (69'), Gomez (77'), Salcedo (84'), Paiva (90')
Braz (71'), Cristiano (72')
Nino (80')
Mar 10, 2022 12.30am
Third Round 1st Leg
Fluminense
3-1
Olimpia
Cano (43'), Andre (90+3'), Braz (90+4')
Salcedo (27'), Salazar (40'), Olveira (42'), Ortiz (45+2'), Torres (54'), Alcaraz (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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