MX23RW : Friday, November 1 00:14:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 23, 2023 at 1am UK
Arena do Gremio
Atletico Mineiro

Gremio
1 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

Ronald (11')
Uvini (5'), Reinaldo (62'), Grando (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rubens (45+5'), Saravia (76'), Lemos (89'), Santana (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gremio 1-1 Bahia (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 13 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

We said: Gremio 1-1 Atletico Mineiro

Galo have been sharp defensively away from home in this competition, and we believe they will be able to limit the Gremio scoring opportunities on Saturday and find a way to claim a point against an unstable backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawAtletico Mineiro
33.88% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 27.71% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 38.4% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 48.49% (-0.222 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.69% (-0.271 -0.27)57.31% (0.273 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.86% (-0.217 -0.22)78.14% (0.218 0.22)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)31.76% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.81% (-0.208 -0.21)68.19% (0.209 0.21)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06% (-0.13499999999999 -0.13)28.94% (0.135 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (-0.167 -0.17)64.82% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 33.88%
    Atletico Mineiro 38.4%
    Draw 27.71%
GremioDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.5% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.88%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.19% (0.096 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 11.39% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.07% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.92% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 38.4%

How you voted: Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro

Gremio
62.1%
Draw
24.1%
Atletico Mineiro
13.8%
29
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2021 12.30am
Nov 4, 2021 12am
Jan 20, 2021 10.15pm
Sep 27, 2020 1am
Gameweek 12
Atletico Mineiro
3-1
Gremio
Keno (11', 52')
Oct 13, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 25
Atletico Mineiro
1-4
Gremio
Di Santo (45' pen.)
Hulk (45'), Cazares (45'), Geuvanio (62'), Luan (65'), Nathan (89')
Cazares (68')
Galhardo (34'), Souza (44' pen.), Pepe (47'), Alisson (94')
Andre (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo31197549262364
2PalmeirasPalmeiras31187653252861
3FortalezaFortaleza3116964132957
4FlamengoFlamengo31167850371355
5InternacionalInternacional311411642281453
6Sao Paulo31156104233951
7Bahia31137114237546
8Cruzeiro31128113633344
9Vasco da GamaVasco31127123643-743
10Atletico Mineiro30101194245-341
11Gremio31115153639-338
12CriciumaCriciuma31910123844-637
13Fluminense31106152632-636
14Vitoria31105163545-1035
15Corinthians31811123540-535
16Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3097143237-534
17BragantinoBragantino31810133440-634
18JuventudeJuventude31810133848-1034
19Cuiaba3169162541-1627
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3157192350-2722


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!