Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Jun 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Gremio5 - 1Coritiba
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gremio 3-1 America Mineiro
Thursday, June 22 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Thursday, June 22 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 0-1 Internacional
Friday, June 23 at 12am in Brasileiro
Friday, June 23 at 12am in Brasileiro
We said: Gremio 2-1 Coritiba
Despite there being 16 points and 17 positions between these two sides ahead of Sunday's meeting, we expect Coritiba to push the hosts hard to earn their victory. However, Gaucho's side are on a serious roll at present, and it would be surprising if they did not get the job done in the end to maintain pressure on the top two sides. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 12.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Coritiba |
67.99% ( -0.01) | 19.89% ( -0.01) | 12.12% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.94% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
