MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 18:12:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Jun 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Coritiba

Gremio
5 - 1
Coritiba

Cristaldo (34' pen.), Villasanti (48'), Bitello (54'), Suarez (66'), Henrique (84')
Carballo (21'), Reinaldo (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Manga (41')
Natanael (33'), Andrey (36'), Manga (42'), Kuscevic (73')
Gomes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Coritiba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 3-1 America Mineiro
Thursday, June 22 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Coritiba

All competitions
Last Game: Coritiba 0-1 Internacional
Friday, June 23 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Gremio 2-1 Coritiba

 Despite there being 16 points and 17 positions between these two sides ahead of Sunday's meeting, we expect Coritiba to push the hosts hard to earn their victory. However, Gaucho's side are on a serious roll at present, and it would be surprising if they did not get the job done in the end to maintain pressure on the top two sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 12.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
GremioDrawCoritiba
67.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 19.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 12.12% (0.013 0.01)
Both teams to score 43.94% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.11% (0.051000000000002 0.05)48.88% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.02% (0.045999999999999 0.05)70.98% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.62% (0.01400000000001 0.01)13.37% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.72% (0.027999999999999 0.03)40.28% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.72% (0.054000000000002 0.05)49.27% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.85% (0.039 0.04)84.15% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 67.98%
    Coritiba 12.12%
    Draw 19.89%
GremioDrawCoritiba
2-0 @ 13.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 13.25% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 8.94% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 6.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 3.18% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 67.98%
1-1 @ 9.38%
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.34% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 19.89%
0-1 @ 4.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 3.32% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 12.12%

How you voted: Gremio vs Coritiba

Gremio
89.3%
Draw
10.7%
Coritiba
0.0%
28
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 33
Coritiba
1-1
Gremio
Wilson (73' pen.)
Neilton (53'), Rafinha (90'), Jonathan (90+8')
Doin (20')
Mendes (68'), Cortez (69'), Braz (72')
Oct 7, 2020 11.15pm
Gameweek 14
Gremio
2-1
Coritiba
Fernando (3'), Braz (11')
Doin (26'), Henrique (90+4')
Silva (72')
Martinez (29'), Neilton (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826
> Brasileiro Full Table


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