MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 07:45:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Palmeiras
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 9, 2023 at 1am UK
Allianz Parque
Flamengo

Palmeiras
1 - 1
Flamengo

Dudu (24')
Mayke (35'), Rios (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
De Arrascaeta (81')
Hugo (33'), Lucas (55'), Bruno (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Palmeiras
Wednesday, July 5 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Athletico PR
Thursday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

We said: Palmeiras 2-2 Flamengo

This should be a hugely entertaining clash between two of Brazil's biggest clubs, who have won the latest three editions of the Copa Libertadores between them. They are both chasing down runaway leaders Botafogo in the Brasileiro, making this a massively important fixture for both teams, but we can envisage them having to settle for a share of the spoils on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Flamengo had a probability of 17.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Flamengo win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawFlamengo
62.18% (-0.84200000000001 -0.84) 20.57% (0.463 0.46) 17.25% (0.384 0.38)
Both teams to score 54.66% (-0.809 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.67% (-1.453 -1.45)41.33% (1.456 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.28% (-1.491 -1.49)63.72% (1.496 1.5)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.25% (-0.68000000000001 -0.68)12.75% (0.683 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61% (-1.422 -1.42)39% (1.428 1.43)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.64% (-0.433 -0.43)37.36% (0.438 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.86% (-0.428 -0.43)74.14% (0.43300000000001 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 62.18%
    Flamengo 17.25%
    Draw 20.57%
PalmeirasDrawFlamengo
2-0 @ 10.1% (0.139 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.81% (0.389 0.39)
3-0 @ 6.94% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.83% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-0 @ 3.57% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-1 @ 3.52% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.111 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.47% (-0.099 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.45% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 62.18%
1-1 @ 9.66% (0.272 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.307 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.57%
1-2 @ 4.76% (0.079 0.08)
0-1 @ 4.69% (0.251 0.25)
0-2 @ 2.31% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 17.25%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Flamengo

Palmeiras
29.2%
Draw
33.3%
Flamengo
37.5%
24
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
Palmeiras
1-1
Flamengo
Veiga (66')
Hugo (29')
Gomes (50'), Vidal (89')
Apr 20, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 4
Flamengo
0-0
Palmeiras
Gomes (43'), Barbosa (45+4'), Maia (70')
Cerqueira (16'), Rony (45'), Rafael (71'), Rocha (75')
Nov 27, 2021 8pm
Final
Palmeiras
2-1
Flamengo
Veiga (5'), Deyverson (95')
Piquerez (67'), Gomez (74'), Melo (120+1')
Barbosa (72')
Caio (65'), Barbosa (74'), De Arrascaeta (78')
Sep 12, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 20
Palmeiras
1-3
Flamengo
Wesley (15')
Rafael (90+6')
Michael (17', 81'), Pedro (57')
Pedro (26'), Vitinho (84')
May 30, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 1
Flamengo
1-0
Palmeiras
Pedro (75')
Caio (82'), Vitinho (90+6')

Vina (54'), de Paula (58'), Wesley (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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