MX23RW : Thursday, October 31 23:05:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Santos
Brasileiro | Gameweek 27
Oct 20, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Bragantino

Santos
1 - 3
Bragantino

Ortiz (86' og.)
Paulo (26'), Lucas (44'), Lucas (45'), Moreira (66'), Nonato (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sasha (9', 29' pen.), Ramires (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Santos and Bragantino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Palmeiras 1-2 Santos
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Bragantino
Sunday, October 8 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Santos 1-2 Bragantino

As the only team on a three-match winning streak in the division, Santos will be respected ahead of this contest. Nevertheless, we expect the consistency of the visitors to ultimately prevail in a match that may be decided during the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Santos had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
SantosDrawBragantino
34.39% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 25.95% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 39.66% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.83% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)50.17% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.87% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)72.13% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.9% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)63.51% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.11% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)24.9% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.49% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)59.51% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Santos 34.39%
    Bragantino 39.66%
    Draw 25.95%
SantosDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.66% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.39%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 6.95% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 9.66% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.57% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 39.66%

How you voted: Santos vs Bragantino

Santos
19.0%
Draw
33.3%
Bragantino
47.6%
21
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 8
Bragantino
2-0
Santos
Vitinho (31'), Capixaba (75')
Helinho (14'), Fernandes (57')

Washington (72')
Oct 18, 2022 12am
Gameweek 32
Bragantino
0-2
Santos
Camacho (51'), Gabriel (68')
Jun 19, 2022 1am
Gameweek 13
Santos
2-2
Bragantino
Zanocelo (23'), Oliveira (25'), Paulo (56')
Raul (20'), Helinho (61'), Praxedes (80')
Nov 10, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 31
Santos
2-0
Bragantino
Marinho (28'), Sanchez (90+3' pen.)
Zanocelo (72'), Paulo (75')

Jadsom (21')
Jul 19, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 12
Bragantino
2-2
Santos
Alerrandro (10'), Ytalo (83')
Guilherme (70'), Leonardo (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo31197549262364
2PalmeirasPalmeiras31187653252861
3FortalezaFortaleza3116964132957
4FlamengoFlamengo31167850371355
5InternacionalInternacional311411642281453
6Sao Paulo31156104233951
7Bahia31137114237546
8Cruzeiro31128113633344
9Vasco da GamaVasco31127123643-743
10Atletico Mineiro30101194245-341
11Gremio31115153639-338
12CriciumaCriciuma31910123844-637
13Fluminense31106152632-636
14Vitoria31105163545-1035
15Corinthians31811123540-535
16Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3097143237-534
17BragantinoBragantino31810133440-634
18JuventudeJuventude31810133848-1034
19Cuiaba3169162541-1627
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3157192350-2722


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