Brasileiro | Gameweek 20
Aug 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Santos2 - 1Gremio
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Gremio.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 36.39%. A win for Santos had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-0 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Gremio |
35.25% ( 1.31) | 28.36% ( 0.45) | 36.39% ( -1.77) |
| Both teams to score 46.71% ( -1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
