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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
31.56% ( 0.46) | 25.59% ( 0.39) | 42.85% ( -0.84) |
Both teams to score 54.49% ( -1.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.65% ( -1.49) | 49.35% ( 1.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.6% ( -1.36) | 71.4% ( 1.36) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.7% ( -0.44) | 29.3% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.73% ( -0.54) | 65.27% ( 0.54) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.07% ( -1.04) | 22.93% ( 1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.31% ( -1.55) | 56.69% ( 1.55) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.56% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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