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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Feb 3, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Leverkusen logo

Augsburg
1 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Berisha (55')
Beljo (37'), Maier (59'), Engels (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hincapie (27'), Adli (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Augsburg
Saturday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-2 Dortmund
Sunday, January 29 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

 With both teams losing last weekend, we can envisage a relatively cagey encounter in Bavaria on Friday evening, with both managers preferring to see their sides hold onto possession for long periods. However, there is little doubt that Leverkusen possess superior individual quality within their ranks, and they should be able to return to winning ways having made great strides under Alonso's management. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
31.56% (0.459 0.46) 25.59% (0.386 0.39) 42.85% (-0.844 -0.84)
Both teams to score 54.49% (-1.08 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (-1.492 -1.49)49.35% (1.492 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (-1.359 -1.36)71.4% (1.361 1.36)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.7% (-0.441 -0.44)29.3% (0.442 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73% (-0.543 -0.54)65.27% (0.54400000000001 0.54)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (-1.039 -1.04)22.93% (1.041 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.31% (-1.552 -1.55)56.69% (1.553 1.55)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 31.56%
    Bayer Leverkusen 42.85%
    Draw 25.58%
AugsburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.396 0.4)
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.06% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.56%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.401 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.296 0.3)
1-2 @ 8.95% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-2 @ 7.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 42.85%

How you voted: Augsburg vs B. Leverkusen

Augsburg
19.4%
Draw
14.4%
Bayer Leverkusen
66.2%
139
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
1-2
Augsburg
Aranguiz (43')
Azmoun (79')
Jensen (15'), Hahn (82')
Pedersen (35'), Demirovic (42'), Gouweleeuw (70'), Rexhbecaj (75'), Gikiewicz (82'), Bauer (89')
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
5-1
Augsburg
Bellarabi (9'), Diaby (24', 65', 69'), Alario (81')
Bellarabi (6')
Maier (62')
Pedersen (43'), Uduokhai (52')
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Augsburg
1-4
B. Leverkusen
Niederlechner (30')
Iago (3' og.), Niederlechner (14' og.), Schick (75'), Wirtz (81')
Demirbay (66')
Feb 21, 2021 12.30pm
Augsburg
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Niederlechner (5')
Benes (49'), Niederlechner (59')
Tapsoba (90+5')
Tapsoba (32'), Aranguiz (39'), Diaby (88'), Fosu-Mensah (89')
Oct 26, 2020 7.30pm
B. Leverkusen
3-1
Augsburg
Alario (16' pen., 74'), Diaby (90+4')
Alario (78')
Caligiuri (51')
Framberger (15'), Vargas (77')
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617
> Bundesliga Full Table


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