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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Stuttgart

B. Leverkusen
2 - 0
Stuttgart

Diaby (30'), Tah (82')
Amiri (69'), Hlozek (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zagadou (39'), Fuhrich (61'), Tomas (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Stuttgart

There is little doubt that Leverkusen possess the attacking firepower to hurt Stuttgart, who are still awaiting their first league win on the road this season. As such, we can envisage Alonso's side racking up a third straight victory in the Bundesliga to potentially put serious distance between themselves and the bottom three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 14.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawStuttgart
66.4% (1.65 1.65) 18.97% (-0.529 -0.53) 14.62% (-1.126 -1.13)
Both teams to score 54.07% (-0.968 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.9% (0.103 0.1)39.1% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.57% (0.108 0.11)61.42% (-0.113 -0.11)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.06% (0.45999999999999 0.46)10.93% (-0.464 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.86% (1.013 1.01)35.13% (-1.016 -1.02)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.7% (-1.411 -1.41)39.29% (1.407 1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24% (-1.344 -1.34)75.99% (1.338 1.34)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 66.4%
    Stuttgart 14.62%
    Draw 18.97%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawStuttgart
2-0 @ 10.52% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 7.76% (0.392 0.39)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.097 0.1)
4-0 @ 4.3% (0.293 0.29)
4-1 @ 4.01% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.085 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.9% (0.163 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.78% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 66.4%
1-1 @ 8.88% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.97%
1-2 @ 4.15% (-0.269 -0.27)
0-1 @ 4.01% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 14.62%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Stuttgart

Bayer Leverkusen
85.7%
Draw
6.3%
Stuttgart
7.9%
63
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 5.30pm
B. Leverkusen
4-2
Stuttgart
Diaby (41'), Adli (52'), Wirtz (86'), Schick (90')
Demirbay (45'), Andrich (63'), Bakker (83')
Tomas (49', 88')
Endo (51'), Mavropanos (90+4')
Sep 19, 2021 2.30pm
Stuttgart
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Mangala (38')
Karazor (63'), Coulibaly (76')
Andrich (2'), Schick (19'), Wirtz (70')
Frimpong (36'), Bakker (37'), Aranguiz (58')
Andrich (32')
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
5-2
Stuttgart
Demirbay (18', 31'), Bailey (56'), Wirtz (68'), Gray (84')
Kalajdzic (50', 77')
Oct 3, 2020 2.30pm
Feb 5, 2020 5.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Stuttgart
Bredlow (72' og.), Alario (83')
Weiser (30'), Hradecky (86')
Wamangituka (85')
Castro (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern20163162194351
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4RB Leipzig209653429533
5Stuttgart209563730732
6Mainz 05Mainz209473324931
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach209383230230
8Werder Bremen208663436-230
9Freiburg209382736-930
10Borussia DortmundDortmund208573634229
11Wolfsburg198474234828
12Augsburg207582435-1126
13St Pauli2063111822-421
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin205691627-1121
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim2042142542-1714
17Holstein Kiel2033143152-2112
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2024141744-2710


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