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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 14.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Stuttgart |
66.4% ( 1.65) | 18.97% ( -0.53) | 14.62% ( -1.13) |
Both teams to score 54.07% ( -0.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.9% ( 0.1) | 39.1% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.57% ( 0.11) | 61.42% ( -0.11) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.06% ( 0.46) | 10.93% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.86% ( 1.01) | 35.13% ( -1.02) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.7% ( -1.41) | 39.29% ( 1.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24% ( -1.34) | 75.99% ( 1.34) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Stuttgart |
2-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.09) Other @ 4.28% Total : 66.4% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.97% | 1-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.86% Total : 14.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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