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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Augsburg logo

Union Berlin
2 - 2
Augsburg

Becker (7'), Behrens (22')
Khedira (12')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Niederlechner (9', 39')
Gumny (20'), Bauer (21'), Demirovic (26'), Gouweleeuw (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-2 Augsburg

Though there is a large divide between these two teams in terms of results this year, the potential for a goal-fest is very high between Union and Augsburg. The fluid counter-attacking of Augsburg's formation, including an in-form Mergim Berisha, the rapidity of Jensen on the wings, and the intelligence of Demirovic and Niederlechner, could all help to exploit Union's aggression. Such a result for Augsburg is contingent on Union's players showing the same lethargy they did at the weekend. The fixture list has been much kinder on Augsburg, and they may prove a tough opponent for Fischer's Union. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawAugsburg
59.98% (0.081000000000003 0.08) 23.23% (0.0010000000000012 0) 16.79% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 45.46% (-0.151 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.85% (-0.118 -0.12)53.15% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (-0.1 -0.1)74.72% (0.104 0.1)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.6% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)17.4% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)47.82% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.04% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)44.96% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.1% (-0.137 -0.14)80.9% (0.14 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 59.97%
    Augsburg 16.79%
    Draw 23.22%
Union BerlinDrawAugsburg
1-0 @ 13.68% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 11.96% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.97% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.05% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 59.97%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.82% (0.037 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 6.25%
1-2 @ 4.37% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 16.79%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Augsburg

Union Berlin
79.8%
Draw
10.6%
Augsburg
9.6%
94
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
Jan 25, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1683436231327
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Freiburg168352426-227
6Mainz 05Mainz1674430201025
7Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
8Werder Bremen157442625125
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg166363328521
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164561421-717
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli164291220-814
15Hoffenheim163572029-914
16Heidenheim1631112033-1310
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613111337-246


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