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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Augsburg |
59.98% ( 0.08) | 23.23% ( 0) | 16.79% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 45.46% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.85% ( -0.12) | 53.15% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.28% ( -0.1) | 74.72% ( 0.1) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.6% ( -0.01) | 17.4% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.17% ( -0.02) | 47.82% ( 0.03) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.04% ( -0.17) | 44.96% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.1% ( -0.14) | 80.9% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Augsburg |
1-0 @ 13.68% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 59.97% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 6.25% 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.49% Total : 16.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 48 | 13 | 35 | 39 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 35 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 16 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 16 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 24 |
10 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 16 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 16 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 16 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 16 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 16 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 16 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 6 |
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