We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt
With Leverkusen having plenty left to play for in the Bundesliga in the closing stages, and Frankfurt focusing much of their attention on their Europa League semi-final ties, a home win is expected on Monday.
The hosts continue to play far from their best at the moment, but with the visitors struggling domestically, Leverkusen should run out winners to further strengthen their hold on third spot.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 61.43%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 18.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 1-0 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.