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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 7, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Leverkusen logo

Hoffenheim
2 - 4
B. Leverkusen

Rutter (22'), Baumgartner (36')
Dabour (66')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Schick (34', 76'), Diaby (73'), Alario (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 5-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Rodinghausen vs. Hoffenheim
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Elversberg vs. B. Leverkusen
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Hoffenheim 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

It is difficult not to go with the form book here, with the hosts on a dreadful run at the end of the campaign and continuing to leak goals consistently. Leverkusen are a dangerous away side to face, with the likes of Moussa Diaby and Schick providing deadly attacks on the break, and the duo should manage to get amongst the goals in an away victory here to confirm their top-four finish.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Hoffenheim has a probability of 37.33% and a draw has a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline is Hoffenheim 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen with a probability of 10.01% and the second most likely scoreline is Hoffenheim 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen with a probability of 8.42%.

Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.17%) and 0-2 (5.18%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
37.33%23%39.67%
Both teams to score 65.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.16%35.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.08%57.92%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3%19.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.31%51.69%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37%18.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.06%49.94%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 37.33%
    Bayer Leverkusen 39.67%
    Draw 22.99%
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.14%
1-0 @ 5.96%
2-0 @ 4.84%
3-1 @ 4.41%
3-2 @ 3.7%
3-0 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 37.33%
1-1 @ 10.01%
2-2 @ 6.84%
0-0 @ 3.67%
3-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 8.42%
0-1 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 5.18%
1-3 @ 4.71%
2-3 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 2.9%
1-4 @ 1.98%
2-4 @ 1.61%
0-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 39.67%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs B. Leverkusen

Hoffenheim
9.5%
Draw
16.7%
Bayer Leverkusen
73.8%
42
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Hoffenheim
Schick (37', 63')
Diaby (21'), Odilon (60'), Tapsoba (85'), Hincapie (86')
Diaby (90+2')
Stiller (80'), Dabour (83')
Rudy (21'), Raum (28'), Dabour (88')
Dec 13, 2020 5pm
B. Leverkusen
4-1
Hoffenheim
Bailey (4', 27'), Wirtz (55'), Alario (90+1' pen.)
Diaby (31'), Sinkgraven (35'), Amiri (74')
Baumgartner (50')
Grillitsch (38'), Posch (58'), Vogt (74'), Nordtveit (90+1')
Grillitsch (64'), Posch (79')
Feb 1, 2020 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
2-1
B. Leverkusen
Kramaric (23'), Skov (65')
Baumgartner (15'), Rudy (49'), Pentke (86')
Diaby (11')
Demirbay (27'), Bender (44')
Demirbay (90')
Aug 31, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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