With neither side on a convincing run of form in recent weeks, we can see both failing to provide the quality required to come out with all three points on Sunday.
Wolfsburg have struggled for goals all season, whilst Leverkusen are missing their two greatest threats in the form of Wirtz and Schick, so although goals are usually expected whenever the visitors are playing, we can see there being a lack of goalmouth action here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
